Tuesday, May 1, 2007

The NFL Draft

I am still a little ticked off about the draft. Hey I have no doubt that Anthony Gonzalez is going to be a great player. I have no doubt that it will keep Peyton Manning happy. But you know what else keeps Peyton happy? Not getting run over for 400 yards rushing on D and not having to play catch up all the time.

The defenses' resurgence is deceptive especially considering how they looked during the regular season. A big body like Alan Branch or a first round talent like Paul Posluszny would have gone a long way in shoring up the defense. I know that Dungy likes to draft fast players that work in our offense but our guys got knocked over like bowling pins last year. You know when our D was the toughest? When we had the big body of Corey Simon making opportunities for the rest of our defense. Without that most of our opponents can double team Dwight Freeney and have a good chance of making Sundays interesting for your Indianapolis Colts.

Kurt Weber has a really good point in the post below. But I am still convinced that a good slot receiver good be had in a later round. I am also convinced that if the Patriots got Randy Moss for a 4th round pick, there was talent out there for the right price. Moss may be a nut job but when he is happy, he is dangerous. He will be dangerous this year for the evil New England Patriots.

And why did the Colts find it imperative to give up a number one draft pick next year for a second rounder this year? OT Tony Ugoh won't even play this year. I know Tarik Glenn is getting older but he is still sharp. On the Sirius NFL network they were questioning this move. Apparently Ugoh doesn't even like football but instead would rather be a shot putter. Really Polian? A shot putter is worth a first rounder? And more importantly why didn't we get a back up at running back? We did pick up the Ivy League rushing leader in the free agent market today. Can someone name for me the last great rusher from Harvard?

Torpor has noted that Polian deserves the benefit of the doubt. And he is right. I used to give the same to Donnie Walsh but now the Pacers blow. But notwithstanding that, I hope he knows what he is doing. I can't watch the evil Patriots win again. A one year reprieve for the good guys just isn't enough.


Anonymous Kurt M. Weber said...

Not only is Tarik Glenn getting old, but his current contract expires next year. The team is already dangerously close to salary cap hell, and Glenn's likely to want a heckuva lotta money. Should it not be possible to re-sign him next year, would you rather have a rookie protecting Peyton's backside, or would you rather have someone who, even if he hasn't seen much action, at least has had time to develop a decent understanding of the theory behind how it all works?

Also, the general rule of thumb is that a pick in round N in a given year year is, all else being equal, is worth as much as a pick in round N-1 the next year. It's simple economics as to why this is--just like a given amount of money now has greater value than the same amount of money (in nominal or real terms) in the future because the satisfaction provided is more immediate, a given draft pick now has greater value than the same pick in the future because, again, the satisfaction provided is more immediate.

Why is it that a pick this year is worth a pick in round N-1 next year, rather than round N-2 next year, or round N-1 five years from now? No theoretical explanation...that's just how it's happened to work out, in general.

That said, while a LT was needed I agree that Tony Ugoh may not be the best man for the job. From what I've read, he's a bit of a primadonna--and Howard Mudd doesn't have much patience for that kind of crap.

May 02, 2007  

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